Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Market data provided by Factset. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Legal Statement. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. Ukraine News. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. Barnes sought. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. TrendRadars. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. Home; News. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Most young men are single. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. The poll, whose results were released on Wednesday, has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters, compared with Barnes 46 percent. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Lt. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. Morry Gash/Associated Press Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. With less than 100 days to go before the . Show us your political mailers! The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. More from. S en. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Biden is doing as president, and only 40 percent approved. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Lt. Gov. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. Develop As Johnson opened a lead, it sent the Republican incumbent's supporters into a frenzy. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Lt. Gov. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. Ron Johnson has turned up the volume on the issue of race in his closing message to base voters, whose support will be crucial in his tight contest against Mandela Barnes, who would be the state's . For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. . Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. Stay up to date with what you want to know. This race is over.. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Yorkshire Post. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. Lt. Gov. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Barnes did not officially concede the race Tuesday night or Wednesday morning as he waited for all the votes to be counted. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Keep updated on the latest news and information. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. 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